Tesla CEO Elon Musk on Monday predicted development of artificial intelligence that was smarter than the smartest human probably by next year, or by 2026.
“If you define AGI (artificial general intelligence) as smarter than the smartest human, I think it’s probably next year, within two years,” Musk said when asked about the timeline for development of AGI.
In a wide-ranging interview on X spaces, Musk also told Norway wealth fund CEO Nicolai Tangen that AI was constrained by the availability of electricity and that the next version of Grok, the AI chatbot from his xAI startup, was expected to be trained by May.
He further said a lack of advanced chips was hampering the training of Grok’s version 2 model.
Musk said training the Grok 2 model took about 20,000 Nvidia (NVDA.O), opens new tab H100 GPUs, adding that the Grok 3 model and beyond will require 100,000 Nvidia H100 chips. However, he added that while a shortage of chips were a big constraint for the development of AI so far, electricity supply will be crucial in the next year or two.
Musk founded xAI last year as a challenger to OpenAI, which he has sued for abandoning its original mission to develop AI for the benefit of humanity and not for profit. OpenAI denies the allegations.
Notably, Musk is also a co-founder of OpenAI.
